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The price of a trade war? Gen z could pay for decades

Introduction to the Trade War

The Canadian economy has been facing a lot of uncertainty due to extreme measures taken by the US, leading to job losses in the auto industry and a downturn in the real estate market. In response, Canada implemented retaliation tariffs and worked on building better trade relationships with other countries to reduce its reliance on the US. Prime Minister Mark Carney stated that the trade relationship between Canada and the US, as we knew it, was "over".

What are Tariffs?

Think of tariffs like a cover fee at an event. Countries raise an entry fee for goods coming from other countries. When the US imports cars from Canada and a tariff is imposed, the US receives an additional fee at the border before the goods are allowed in. This increase in costs is often passed on to consumers. Tariffs are supposed to "protect domestic companies" by encouraging people to buy goods manufactured in their own country.

The Impact of Tariffs

However, when governments impose tariffs, the costs of goods also increase to protect profit margins, making foreign products more expensive. It is the consumers who ultimately pay the tariffs, and suppliers suffer the effects of non-competitive prices. While some tariffs may seem insignificant, the real difficulties arise when tariffs are imposed on everyday necessities like cars, food, and materials such as aluminum and metal. This can lead to trade wars, and the consequences can be felt for years to come.

A Look at History

The trade war between the US and Canada is not a new phenomenon. Donald Drummond, a former chief economist at TD Bank, points out that the last time there was a significant trade dispute between the two countries was during the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of the 1930s. This US law imposed over 20,000 tariffs, which were higher and more widespread than the current tariffs on steel and aluminum. Drummond notes that this is the third time in 130 years that Canada and the US have engaged in a trade war, and the previous two instances ended badly for both countries.

The Consequences of Trade Wars

Drummond explains that the 1930s trade war led to a collapse in global trade, worsening the global economic crisis. The politics of the time were also severely affected, and it took a significant change in policy for the US to recover. The current situation, says Drummond, "seems to be very, very familiar." The imposition of tariffs by the US has led to a cycle of retaliation, with other countries responding with their own tariffs. This cycle can be devastating for the global economy and can have long-lasting effects.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the trade war between the US and Canada has significant implications for the Canadian economy and the global economy as a whole. Tariffs can lead to increased costs for consumers, job losses, and a downturn in industries such as the auto sector. It is essential for governments to work together to resolve trade disputes and avoid the devastating consequences of trade wars. By understanding the history of trade wars and their effects, we can learn from the past and work towards a more cooperative and stable global economy.

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